Predictive utility of the fetal cerebroplacental ratio for hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy, severe neonatal morbidity and perinatal mortality in late-preterm and term infants.

Aims: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of a low cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) with hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE), severe neonatal morbidity (SNM) and perinatal mortality (PNM).

Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of late-preterm and term births at Mater Mothers' Hospital, Brisbane, between 2016 and 2020. Study outcomes were HIE, PNM and SNM (a composite of severe acidosis, Apgar score less than four at 5 min, severe respiratory distress or need for significant cardiopulmonary resuscitation at birth). Univariate and multivariable logistic regressions were used to determine if a low CPR was associated with HIE, SNM or PNM.

Results: A total of 51 870 births met the inclusion criteria. Of these, 216 (0.42%) were complicated by HIE, 10 224 (19.7%) had SNM and 251 (0.48%) had PNM. Rates of low CPR (<10th and <5th centile) were significantly higher in the SNM cohort (20.1 and 13.2%, respectively) and PNM cohort (21.1 and 15.1%, respectively) compared to the overall cohort. A low CPR was associated with significantly increased adjusted odds for SNM but not for HIE or PNM. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for CPR <10th centile was greatest for SNM (0.768) and lowest for HIE (0.595). Predictive margins of a low CPR for HIE, SNM and PNM were significant only for SNM at late-preterm gestations.

Conclusions: A low CPR is associated with increased odds of SNM in infants born >34 weeks' gestation but not for HIE or PNM.