The prognostic role of the AST/ALT ratio in hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving thermal ablation combined with simultaneous TACE.

Background: To evaluate the prognostic value of the pre-treatment aspartate transaminase (AST)/alanine transaminase (ALT) ratio in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients receiving radiofrequency ablation (RFA)/microwave ablation (MWA) combined with simultaneous TACE.

Methods: The data for 117 patients were retrospectively analyzed in this study. The endpoint of prognosis was overall survival (OS). The Youden index was used to choose the optimal cut-off value of the pre-treatment AST/ALT ratio for OS prediction. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify independent risk factors, then integrated to establish the nomogram.

Results: The AST/ALT ratio cut-off value for OS prediction was 0.89, and patients with a higher AST/ALT ratio had poorer OS. The median OS for the high-value AST/ALT group was not reached, while the median OS for the low-value AST/ALT group was 48.5 months (P = 0.0047). The univariate and multivariate analysis showed that AST/ALT ratio, AFP, and tumor numbers were independent prognostic indicators for OS. The integrated nomogram showed higher predictive accuracy for OS (C-index 0.674, 95%CI: 0.600-0.748).

Conclusions: The preoperative AST/ALT ratio could be a prognostic indicator for HCC patients receiving thermal ablation combined with simultaneous TACE.