A nomogram based on platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio for predicting pathological complete response of breast cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Objective: To investigate the role of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in complete pathological response (pCR) of breast cancer (BC) patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), as well as to establish and validate a nomogram for predicting pCR.

Methods: BC patients diagnosed and treated in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2019 to June 2022 were included. The correlation between pCR and clinicopathological characteristics was analyzed by Chi-square test. Logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the factors that might affect pCR. Based on the results of regression analysis, a nomogram for predicting pCR was established and validated.

Results: A total of 112 BC patients were included in this study. 50.89% of the patients acquired pCR after NAC. Chi-square test showed that PLR was significantly correlated with pCR (X = 18.878, P < 0.001). And the PLR before NAC in pCR group was lower than that in Non-pCR group (t = 3.290, P = 0.001). Logistic regression analysis suggested that white blood cell (WBC) [odds ratio (OR): 0.19, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.04-0.85, P = 0.030)], platelet (PLT) (OR: 0.19, 95%CI: 0.04-0.85, P = 0.030), PLR (OR: 0.18, 95%CI: 0.04-0.90, P = 0.036) and tumor grade (OR: 9.24, 95%CI: 1.89-45.07, P = 0.006) were independent predictors of pCR after NAC. A nomogram prediction model based on WBC, PLR, PLR and tumor grade showed a good predictive ability.

Conclusion: PLR, PLT, WBC and tumor grade were independent predictors of pCR in BC patients after NAC. The nomogram based on the above positive factors showed a good predictive ability.