Prognostic value of pre-treatment FDG PET/CT SUVmax for metastatic lesions in de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma following chemotherapy and locoregional radiotherapy.

Background: To explore the prognostic role of FDG PET/CT maximal standard uptake values of metastatic lesions (SUVmax-M) in patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC) following palliative chemotherapy and locoregional radiotherapy (LRRT).

Methods: We retrospectively collected the information of 86 eligible patients between Jan 2012 and Oct 2020. All the parameters involving SUVmax and serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) at diagnosis were evaluated and cutoff values were determined by the maximum log-rank statistic method. The multivariate analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards regression to identify the independent prognostic factors associated with overall survival (OS). All estimated survival rates were conducted with Kaplan-Meier method.

Results: Median survival and progression time in the cohort were 38.2 and 13.9 months, respectively. The univariable analysis showed that male, number of metastatic sites ≥ 4, presence of liver, serum LDH ≥ 229, SUVmax-M ≥ 10, SUVmax-M-sum ≥ 10, and SUVmax-M-mean ≥ 8.8 were significant prognostic factors. Five variables were identified after LASSO regression and entered into the multivariate analysis. Furthermore, liver involvement (P = 0.039), elevated LDH (≥ 229) (P = 0.05) and higher SUVmax-M (≥ 10) (P = 0.004) were significantly associated with worse OS.

Conclusion: The high SUVmax of metastatic lesions (≥ 10), liver involvement, and elevated serum LDH (≥ 229) at diagnosis could independently predict poor survival for de novo mNPC patients treated with palliative chemotherapy following LRRT.