Diffuse myocardial fibrosis associates with incident ventricular arrhythmia in implantable cardioverter defibrillator recipients.

Background: Diffuse myocardial fibrosis (DMF) quantified by extracellular volume (ECV) may represent a vulnerable phenotype and associate with life threatening ventricular arrhythmias more than focal myocardial fibrosis. This principle remains important because 1) risk stratification for implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICD) remains challenging, and 2) DMF may respond to current or emerging medical therapies (reversible substrate).

Objectives: To evaluate the association between quantified by ECV in myocardium without focal fibrosis by late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) with time from ICD implantation to 1) appropriate shock, or 2) shock or anti-tachycardia pacing.

Methods: Among patients referred for cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) without congenital disease, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, or amyloidosis who received ICDs (n=215), we used Cox regression to associate ECV with incident ICD therapy.

Results: After a median of 2.9 (IQR 1.5-4.2) years, 25 surviving patients experienced ICD shock and 44 experienced shock or anti-tachycardia pacing. ECV ranged from 20.2% to 39.4%. No patient with ECV<25% experienced an ICD shock. ECV associated with both endpoints, e.g., hazard ratio 2.17 (95%CI 1.17-4.00) for every 5% increase in ECV, p=0.014 in a stepwise model for ICD shock adjusting for ICD indication, age, smoking, atrial fibrillation, and myocardial infarction, whereas focal fibrosis by LGE and global longitudinal strain (GLS) did not.

Conclusions: DMF measured by ECV associates with ventricular arrhythmias requiring ICD therapy in a dose-response fashion, even adjusting for potential confounding variables, focal fibrosis by LGE, and GLS. ECV-based risk stratification and DMF representing a therapeutic target to prevent ventricular arrhythmia warrant further investigation.