Cognitive Bias in Postoperative Opioid-Prescribing Practice.

Background: Given that excess opioid prescriptions contribute to the US opioid epidemic and there are few national opioid-prescribing guidelines for the management of acute pain, it is pertinent to determine whether prescribers can sufficiently assess their own prescribing practice. We investigated podiatric surgeons' ability to evaluate whether their own opioid-prescribing practice is less than, near, or above that of an "average" prescriber.

Methods: We administered a scenario-based, voluntary, anonymous, online questionnaire consisting of five surgery-based scenarios commonly performed by podiatric surgeons. Respondents were asked the quantity of opioids they would prescribe at the time of surgery. Respondents were also asked to rate their prescribing practice compared with the average (median) podiatric surgeon. We compared self-reported behavior to self-reported perception ("I prescribe less than average," "I prescribed about average," and "I prescribe more than average"). Analysis of variance was used for univariate analysis among the three groups. We used linear regression to adjust for confounders. Data restriction was used to account for restrictive state laws.

Results: One hundred fifteen podiatric surgeons completed the survey in April 2020. Less than half of the time, respondents accurately identified their own category. Consequently, there were no statistically significant differences among podiatric surgeons who reported that they "prescribe less," "prescribe about average," and "prescribe more." Paradoxically, there was a flip in scenario 5: respondents who reported they "prescribe more" actually prescribed the least and respondents who believed they "prescribe less" actually prescribed the most.

Conclusions: Cognitive bias, in the form of a novel effect, occurs in postoperative opioid-prescribing practice; in the absence of procedure-specific guidelines or an objective standard, podiatric surgeons, more often than not, were unaware of how their own opioid-prescribing practice measured up to that of other podiatric surgeons.