Prediction of osteoporosis using radiomics analysis derived from single source dual energy CT.

Background: With the aging population of society, the incidence rate of osteoporosis is increasing year by year. Early diagnosis of osteoporosis plays a significant role in the progress of disease prevention. As newly developed technology, computed tomography (CT) radiomics could discover radiomic features difficult to recognize visually, providing convenient, comprehensive and accurate osteoporosis diagnosis. This study aimed to develop and validate a clinical-radiomics model based on the monochromatic imaging of single source dual-energy CT for osteoporosis prediction.

Methods: One hundred sixty-four participants who underwent both single source dual-energy CT and quantitative computed tomography (QCT) lumbar-spine examination were enrolled in a study cohort including training datasets (n = 114 [30 osteoporosis and 84 non-osteoporosis]) and validation datasets (n = 50 [12 osteoporosis and 38 non-osteoporosis]). One hundred seven radiomics features were extracted from 70-keV monochromatic CT images. With QCT as the reference standard, a radiomics signature was built by using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression on the basis of reproducible features. A clinical-radiomics model was constructed by incorporating the radiomics signature and a significant clinical predictor (age) using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Model performance was assessed by its calibration, discrimination and clinical usefulness.

Results: The radiomics signature comprised 14 selected features and showed good calibration and discrimination in both training and validation cohorts. The clinical-radiomics model, which incorporated the radiomics signature and a significant clinical predictor (age), also showed good discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.938 (95% confidence interval, 0.903-0.952) in the training cohort and an AUC of 0.988 (95% confidence interval, 0.967-0.998) in the validation cohort, and good calibration. The clinical-radiomics model stratified participants into groups with osteoporosis and non-osteoporosis with an accuracy of 94.0% in the validation cohort. Decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that the radiomics signature and the clinical-radiomics model were clinically useful.

Conclusions: The clinical-radiomics model incorporating the radiomics signature and a clinical parameter had a good ability to predict osteoporosis based on dual-energy CT monoenergetic imaging.