Association of Pulmonary Artery Pressure Change With Post-Lung Transplantation Survival: Retrospective Analysis of China Registry.

Background: Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) has been used as intraoperative hemodynamic support in patients with end-stage lung diseases and pulmonary hypertension undergoing lung transplantation (LT).

Objectives: The aim of this study was to identify the association of pulmonary artery pressure change during ECMO and post-LT survival.

Methods: The study investigators collected and analyzed the data from Chinese Lung Transplantation Registry. Patients who have severe pulmonary hypertension with intraoperative ECMO support were enrolled. Post-LT mortality and morbidity were further collected and compared.

Results: A total of 208 recipients were included in the study, during which 53 deaths occurred post-LT. All the patients had severe pulmonary hypertension and were supported by intraoperative ECMO. Using eXtreme Gradient Boosting, or XGboost, model method, 20 variables were selected and ranked. Changes of mean pulmonary artery pressure at the time of ECMO support and ECMO wean-off (ΔmPAP) were related to post-LT survival, after adjusting for potential confounders (recipient age, New York Heart Association functional class status before LT, body mass index, pre-LT hypertension, pre-LT steroids, and pre-LT ECMO bridging). A nonlinear relationship was detected between ΔmPAP and post-LT survival, which had an inflection point of 35 mm Hg. Recipients with ΔmPAP ≦35 mm Hg had higher mortality rate calculated through the Kaplan-Meier estimator ( 0.041). Interaction analysis showed that recipients admitted in LT center with high case volume (≥50 cases/year) and ΔmPAP 35 mm Hg had better long-term survival. The trend was reversed in recipients who were admitted in LT center with low case volume (<50 cases/year).

Conclusions: The relationship between ΔmPAP and post-LT survival was nonlinear. Optimal perioperative ECMO management strategy with experienced team is further warranted.