Predictors of relapse in eating disorders: A meta-analysis.

Introduction: Eating disorders (EDs) have high rates of relapse. However, it is still not clear which factors are the strongest predictors of ED relapse, and the extent to which predictors of relapse may vary due to study and individual differences.

Objective: We conducted a meta-analysis to quantify and compare which factors predict relapse in EDs and evaluate various potential moderators of these relations (e.g., ED subtype, sample age, length of follow-up, timing of predictor assessment, relapse operationalization).

Methods: A total of 35 papers (effects = 315) were included. We used a multilevel random-effects model to estimate summary study-level effect sizes, and multilevel mixed-effects models to examine moderator effects.

Results: Higher level of care, having psychiatric comorbidity, and higher severity of ED psychopathology were associated with higher odds of relapse. Higher leptin, higher meal energy density/variety, higher motivation for change, higher body mass index/weight/body fat, better response to treatment, anorexia nervosa-restricting (vs. anorexia nervosa-binge purge) subtype diagnosis, and older age of ED onset were associated with lower odds of relapse. Several moderators were identified.

Discussion: A variety of variables can predict ED relapse. Furthermore, predictors of ED relapse vary among ED subtypes, sample ages, lengths of follow-up, timing of predictor assessments, and relapse operationalization. Future research should identify the mechanisms by which these variables may contribute to relapse.