Seven centimeters as an optimal cutoff value for prognosis stratification in large monofocal hepatocellular carcinoma.

Purpose: Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) guidelines designate monofocal hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) > 2 cm as BCLC A, and large monofocal HCC is defined at > 5 cm. We aimed to evaluate the optimal cutoff value for large monofocal HCC based on prognosis stratification.

Methods: From 2011 to 2018, 3055 patients with newly diagnosed HCC, who were managed in our institution, including 868 patients with monofocal HCC > 2 cm and 330 patients with BCLC B, were enrolled in this retrospective study.

Results: Monofocal HCC > 5 cm patients had worse overall survival (OS) than monofocal HCC 2-5 cm patients (5-year OS: 54% vs. 57%; p = 0.047), confirmed by multivariate analysis (hazard ratio (HR): 1.492, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.055-2.110; p = 0.024). Monofocal HCC > 5 cm patients had better OS than BCLC B HCC patients (5-year OS: 54% vs. 25%; p < 0.001), confirmed by multivariate analysis (HR: 0.670, 95% CI: 0.481-0.934; p = 0.018). Using 7 cm as the monofocal HCC cutoff value resulted in worse OS than monofocal HCC 2-7 cm (5-year OS: 50% vs. 57%; p = 0.02), confirmed by multivariate analysis (HR: 1.625, 95% CI: 1.039-2.540; p = 0.033). Monofocal HCC > 7 cm patients had better OS than BCLC B patients (p = 0.006). However, no significant difference was identified in the multivariate analysis (HR: 0.726; 95% CI: 0.473-1.115; p = 0.144).

Conclusions: The prognosis of monofocal HCC > 7 cm was similar to that of BCLC B, indicating that 7 cm represents an optimal cutoff value for prognosis stratification in large monofocal HCC.