Baseline Knee Pain Predicts Long-Term Response of Intra-Articular Steroid Injection in Symptomatic Knee Osteoarthritis: Data from OAI.

Objective: The current study aims to investigate the factors that could predict response to intra-articular corticosteroid injection (IACI) in patients with knee osteoarthritis (KOA).

Methods: Data of participants were retrieved from the Osteoarthritis Initiative database. Participants with at least one IACI treatment on single or bilateral knees within the first 5 years of follow-up were retrospectively included. Demographic data, clinical and radiographic variables were collected at both baseline and the first follow-up after IACI treatment. Positive response to IACI treatment was defined as >20% reduction of Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain score from V0 to V1. All the variables with < 0.2 after the comparison between the response and non-response groups were included in a multivariable logistic regression model to identify independent response predictive patient-specific valuables. Receiver operating characteristic curves were performed to establish the cutoff values of independent predictors.

Results: The current study included a total of 385 participants (473 knees), with 155 and 318 knees classified into the response group and non-response group, respectively. Those with satisfied responses to IACI treatment had significantly higher WOMAC pain score ( < 0.001), disability score ( = 0.002), and stiffness score ( = 0.015) at the baseline. Baseline WOMAC pain score showed significant association with positive response to IACI treatment in multivariate logistic analysis and the best cutoff value was 5 points. The rate of analgesics utilization was lower ( = 0.014) in the response group than the non-response group after the IACI treatment.

Conclusion: KOA patients with a baseline WOMAC pain score ≥5 are more likely to benefit from IACI treatment.