Bayesian Aggregation Improves Traditional Single-Image Crop Classification Approaches.

Accurate information about growing crops allows for regulating the internal stocks of agricultural products and drawing strategies for negotiating agricultural commodities on financial markets. Machine learning methods are widely implemented for crop type recognition and classification based on satellite images. However, field classification is complicated by class imbalance and aggregation of pixel-wise into field-wise forecasting. We propose here a Bayesian methodology for the aggregation of classification results. We report the comparison of class balancing techniques. We also report the comparison of classical machine learning methods and the U-Net convolutional neural network for classifying crops using a single satellite image. The best result for single-satellite-image crop classification was achieved with an overall accuracy of 77.4% and a Macro F1-score of 0.66. Bayesian aggregation for field-wise classification improved the result obtained using majority voting aggregation by 1.5%. We demonstrate here that the Bayesian aggregation approach outperforms the majority voting and averaging strategy in overall accuracy for the single-image crop classification task.