Introduction: The high tibial osteotomy (HTO) survival rate is strongly correlated with surgical indications and predictive factors. This study aims to assess HTO survival in the long term, to determine the main predictive factors of this survival, to propose a predictive score for HTO based on those factors.
Methods: This multicentric study included 481 HTO between 2004 and 2015. The inclusion criteria were all primary HTO in patients 70 years old and younger, without previous anterior cruciate ligament injury, and without the limitation of body mass index (BMI). The assessed data were preoperative clinical and radiological parameters, the surgical technique, the complications, the HKA (hip knee ankle angle) correction postoperatively, and the surgical revision at the last follow-up.
Results: The mean follow-up was 7.8 ± 2.9 years. The HTO survival was 93.1% at 5 years and 74.1% at 10 years. Age < 55, female sex, BMI < 25 kg/m and incomplete narrowing were preoperative factors that positively impacted HTO survival. A postoperative HKA angle greater than 180° was a positive factor for HTO survival. The SKOOP (Sfa Knee OsteOtomy Predictive) score, including age (threshold value of 55 years), BMI (threshold values of 25 and 35 kg/m), and the presence or absence of complete joint line narrowing, have been described. If the scale was greater than 3, the survival probability was significantly lower (p < 0.001) than if the scale was less than 3.
Conclusion: A predictive score including age, BMI, and the presence or absence of joint line narrowing can be a helpful in making decisions about HTO, particularly in borderline cases.
Level Of Evidence: Retrospective cohort study.
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