α-MSH as a potential biomarker of severity and prognosis after intracerebral hemorrhage: A prospective cohort study.

Background: α-melanocyte-stimulating hormone (α-MSH) exerts anti-inflammatory and brain protective effects. We determined plasma α-MSH concentrations and discovered the relationship between plasma α-MSH concentrations and severity plus clinical outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

Methods: A total of 117 ICH patients and 117 healthy controls were included in this study. Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score and hematoma volume were recorded to assess disease severity. We used Glasgow outcome scale (GOS) score to evaluate the 3-month clinical prognosis. And multivariate analysis was done to discern the relation of plasma α-MSH concentrations to disease severity plus poor prognosis. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was built to evaluate the prognostic predictive capability.

Results: Plasma α-MSH concentrations in ICH patients, compared with healthy controls, were significantly decreased (median, 25.37 vs 46.80 pg/ml; P < 0.001), and were independently correlated with GCS score (t = 4.091, P < 0.001). Plasma α-MSH concentrations were highly correlated with GOS scores (ρ = 0.548, P < 0.001), were substantially lower with poor prognosis (GOS scores 1-3) than good prognosis, and efficiently discriminated patients at risk of poor prognosis (AUC ROC, 0.793; 95 % CI: 0.709-0.863). Using Youden method, plasma α-MSH concentrations < 23.63 pg/ml predicted poor prognosis with sensitivity of 72.7 % and specificity of 82.2 %. Alternatively, plasma α-MSH concentrations emerged as an independent predictor of poor prognosis with odds ratio of 0.888 (95 % CI: 0.793-0.995; P = 0.040).

Conclusion: Plasma α-MSH concentrations are significantly associated with disease severity and poor 3-month prognosis in patients with ICH, indicating that plasma α-MSH may serve as a useful potential prognostic biomarker for ICH.