C-reactive protein as a non-linear predictor of prolonged length of intensive care unit stay after gastrointestinal cancer surgery.

Background: The relationship between C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay (LoS) has not been well defined.

Aim: To explore the association between CRP levels at ICU admission and prolonged ICU LoS in gastrointestinal cancer (GC) patients after major surgery.

Methods: A retrospective study was performed to quantify serum CRP levels and to establish their association with prolonged ICU LoS (≥ 72 h) in GC patients admitted to the ICU. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were conducted, and restricted cubic spline curves with four knots (5%, 35%, 65%, 95%) were used to explore non-linearity assumptions.

Results: A total of 408 patients were enrolled. Among them, 83 (20.3%) patients had an ICU LoS longer than 72 h. CRP levels were independently associated with the risk of prolonged ICU LoS [odds ratio (OR) 1.47, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00-2.17]. Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a non-linear relationship between CRP levels and OR for the prolonged ICU LoS ( = 0.035 for non-linearity). After the cut-off of 2.6 (log transformed mg/L), the OR for prolonged ICU LoS significantly increased with CRP levels. The adjusted regression coefficient was 0.70 (95%CI 0.31-1.57, = 0.384) for CRP levels less than 2.6, whereas it was 2.43 (95%CI 1.39-4.24, = 0.002) for CRP levels higher than 2.6.

Conclusion: Among the GC patients, CRP levels at ICU admission were non-linearly associated with prolonged ICU LoS in survivors. An admission CRP level > 2.6 (log transformed mg/L) was associated with increased risk of prolonged ICU LoS.