[Simulation of carbon sequestration and timber production in plantation based on COFIX model].

Based on datasets from plot survey and bibliographic of plantations in Maoer Mountain, the COFIX model was used to quantitatively simulate the effects of different rotations (30, 40, 50, 60 years), site indices (12, 16, 20 m), and initial densities (2500, 3333, 4444 trees·hm) on the stand level carbon flows among different carbon pools (, biomass carbon pool, soil carbon pool, and product carbon pool). The results showed that the COFIX model had high reliability for simulating the processes of plantation, with the average relative errors of stand biomass and volume between analog and measured values being 6.4% and 3.7%. Under the baseline conditions of initial density of 3333 trees·hm, site index of 16 m and rotation of 40 years, the carbon stock of total and sub-pool of plantation changed periodically with rotation. The total stand carbon stock and volume for plantation increased with the extension of rotation, the improvement of site index, and the increase of initial density. The stand carbon stock and volume would be increased by 12.2% and 31.2%, 36.7% and 67.8%, respectively, when the reference rotation was correspondingly extended by 10 and 20 years. However, if the reference rotation was shortened by 10 years, stand carbon stock and volume would be correspondingly decreased by 20.9% and 40.4%, respectively. When the initial density was set as 3333 and 4444 trees·hm, stand carbon stock and volume were increased by 27.8% and 50.9%, 27.4% and 49.1%, respectively. When the site index was under the range of 12 to 20 m, stand carbon stock and volume could be increased by 36.0% and 40.3%, 39.3% and 44.2%, respectively, with each increase of 4 m in site index. During one rotation, 271.57 t C per hectare could be fixed into plantation. At the end round of the rotation, 27.47 and 56.75 t C were transferred to soil and wood product carbon pools. Therefore, when the site condition was good, the management model with a higher initial density (4444 trees·hm) and longer rotation (60 years) would be more beneficial to maximizing the carbon sink and timber benefits of plantation.