Introduction: Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a severe hemorrhagic stroke with high mortality. However, there is a lack of clinical tools for predicting in-hospital mortality in clinical practice. LAR is a novel clinical marker that has demonstrated prognostic significance in a variety of diseases.

Methods: Critically ill patients diagnosed and SAH with their data in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) database and the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD) were included in our study. Multivariate logistic regression was utilized to establish the nomogram.

Results: A total of 244 patients with spontaneous SAH in the MIMIC-IV database were eligible for the study as a training set, and 83 patients in eICU-CRD were included for external validation. Data on clinical characteristics, laboratory parameters and outcomes were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis identified age (OR: 1.042, -value: 0.003), LAR (OR: 2.592, -value: 0.011), anion gap (OR: 1.134, -value: 0.036) and APSIII (OR: 1.028, -value: < 0.001) as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality and we developed a nomogram model based on these factors. The nomogram model incorporated with LAR, APSIII, age and anion gap demonstrated great discrimination and clinical utility both in the training set (accuracy: 77.5%, AUC: 0.811) and validation set (accuracy: 75.9%, AUC: 0.822).

Conclusion: LAR is closely associated with increased in-hospital mortality of patients with spontaneous SAH, which could serve as a novel clinical marker. The nomogram model combined with LAR, APSIII, age, and anion gap presents good predictive performance and clinical practicability.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9618723PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fneur.2022.1009253DOI Listing

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