Integrating Ecosystem Health and Services for Assessing Ecological Risk and its Response to Typical Land-Use Patterns in the Eco-fragile Region, North China.

Changes in land-use patterns may increase the ecological risks faced by Eco-Fragile regions. It is vital for regional ecological restoration and management of Eco-Fragile regions to reasonably assess ecological risk and study its response to typical land-use patterns. Existing study on regional ecological risk largely ignored the internal representation of ecosystem health and ecosystem services to ecological risk, and also ignored the internal relationship between ecological risk and land use patterns. This study developed a regional ecological assessment model by describing the relationship between ecosystem health, ecosystem services and ecological risks. Among them, the ecosystem health assessment used the Net Primary Productivity, landscape index and ecosystem elasticity coefficient based on different land use patterns to build Vigor-Organization-Resilience (VOR) model, and the improved equivalent factor method was used to calculate the ecosystem service value. Taking the Fen River Basin (FRB), a typical Eco-Fragile region of the Loess Plateau, as a study region, spatial auto-correlation analysis was used to reveal the temporal and spatial changes and spatial clustering characteristics of regional ecological risk, and regression analysis was used to study the relationship between typical land use patterns and ecological risks, which was included in the consideration of ecological and environmental risk management strategies. The results show that the regions with high ecological risk are mainly distributed in the middle and southwest of the FRB; the regions with low ecological risk are mainly distributed in the north, east and west of the FRB. Both high-risk and low-risk areas show significant spatial clustering effects. The change of ecological risk in FRB is related to the land use patterns. The ecological risk is negatively related to the expansion of construction land and cultivated land at the county and patch scales. On this basis, the environmental management strategies at different scales are discussed. This study can helpful deepen the understanding of the impact of land use patterns on ecological risk, and can also provide important reference for regional ecological risk management and land use policies.