Association of comprehensive thyroid cancer molecular profiling with tumor phenotype and cancer-specific outcomes.

Background: Molecular testing improves the diagnostic accuracy of thyroid cancer. Whether specific molecular testing results are associated with tumor phenotype or provide prognostic information needs further delineation.

Methods: Consecutive thyroid cancer patients after index thyroidectomy with ThyroSeq version 3 (Rye Brook, NY) molecular testing obtained on preoperative fine-needle aspiration or thyroidectomy specimens from patients with thyroid cancer were categorized into 3 molecular risk groups based on detected mutations, fusions, copy number alterations, and/or gene expression alterations and correlated with histopathology and recurrence, defined as biochemical or structural.

Results: Of 578 patients, 49.9%, 37.5%, and 12.6% had molecular risk group-low, molecular risk group-intermediate, and molecular risk group-high cancers, respectively. With a median 19-month follow-up, 9.1% patients recurred. Compared with molecular risk group-low, molecular risk group-intermediate cancers were diagnosed in younger patients and more often had microscopic extrathyroidal extension, involved margins, and nodal disease. Compared with molecular risk group-intermediate, molecular risk group-high cancers were diagnosed in older patients and more often had gross extrathyroidal extension and vascular invasion. In multivariable analysis, recurrence was more likely in molecular risk group-high cancers than in molecular risk group-intermediate (hazard ratio = 4.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.9-8.6; P < .001) and more likely in molecular risk group-intermediate than in molecular risk group-low (hazard ratio = 5.0; 95% confidence interval, 2.0-12.5; P < .001).

Conclusion: Using modern comprehensive genotyping, the genetic profile of thyroid cancers can be categorized into 3 novel molecular risk groups that were associated with histopathologic phenotype and recurrence in short-term follow-up.