Glycaemic variability and progression of chronic kidney disease in people with diabetes and comorbid kidney disease: Retrospective cohort study.

Aim: To investigate the association between glycaemic variability and the development of End-Stage-Kidney-Disease (ESKD) among individuals with diabetes and chronic kidney disease.

Methods: A cohort study using UK electronic primary care health records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Glycaemic variability was assessed using a variability score and intra-individual coefficient of variation (CV) of HbA1c. We calculated sub-distribution hazard ratios (sHR) for developing ESKD using competing risk regression analysis.

Results: There were 37,222 eligible participants (45.5 % male), with a mean age of 76.4 years (SD ± 9.2), and a mean baseline eGFR 40.7 (±10.7) ml/min/1.73 m. There were 5,086 incidents of ESKD in the follow-up period. The adjusted sHR (95 %CI) for each variability score group, were as follows: 21-40, 1.38 (1.27-1.50); 41-60, 1.54 (1.41-1.68); 61-80, 1.61 (1.45-1.79); and 81-100, 1.42 (1.19-1.68), compared with the group (score 0-20) with least variability. The adjusted sHR for CV were as follows: 6.7-9.9, 1.29 (1.15-1.45); 10.0-13.9, 1.55 (1.39-1.74); 14.0-20.1, 1.79 (1.60-2.01) and ≥20.2, 2.10 (1.88-2.34) compared to reference group 0-6.6.

Conclusions: Glycaemic variability was strongly associated with the development of ESKD in people with diabetes and CKD.