Epidemiological Study of Lumbar Spinal Stenosis Symptoms: 10-Year Follow-Up in the Community.

Background: Lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) is one of the important health problems in an aging society because it can significantly impair quality of life (QOL) and active daily living (ADL). However, the natural history or long-term change of LSS symptoms is still unclear. The purpose of this study was to clarify the 10-year course of lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) symptoms in community-dwelling residents of more than 1000 people with prospective data collection.

Methods: A total of 1149 subjects were analyzed for the time course of LSS symptoms for ten years. LSS symptoms were assessed using a questionnaire specially designed and validated to detect LSS symptoms without image information such as magnetic resonance imaging.

Results: The prevalence of positive LSS symptoms was about 16% in the initial survey and 10-year follow-up. Of the subjects who were LSS positive at the initial survey, 40% showed positive LSS symptoms at follow-up and 60% switched to negative LSS symptoms. According to the multivariable logistic regression analysis, severe depression and positive LSS symptoms were extracted as predictors of the presence of LSS symptoms after a 10-year follow-up.

Conclusion: The statistical predictor of the presence of LSS symptoms at 10 years was the presence of LSS symptoms at the initial survey; however, 60% of those who were positive for LSS symptoms at the initial survey were not determined to have LSS symptoms at the 10-year follow-up. This was the same result as at the 1-year and 6-year follow-up.