Background: This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of semiquantitative parameters derived from [ Ga]Ga-fibroblast activation protein inhibitor (FAPI) PET/CT for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy.
Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis on patients from a prospective parent study (NCT04416165). A total of 45 patients with locally advanced ESCC who underwent [ Ga]Ga-FAPI from December 2019 to March 2021 were included. The maximum standard uptake value (SUVmax), gross tumor volume (GTV), and total lesion-FAPI (TL-FAPI) of the primary tumor were calculated from the corresponding PET/CT image. Unpaired parameters were compared using Student's t test or the Mann-Whitney U test. Paired parameters were compared using the paired t test or the Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test. Kaplan-Meier curves were generated to calculate progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) rates, and Cox regression analysis was performed to determine which PET/CT parameters were prognostic factors for PFS and/or OS.
Results: Thirty-four of the 45 patients met the criteria, and the median follow-up time was 24 months (16-29 months). SUVmax-FAPI, GTV, and TL-FAPI in patients with stage T4 tumors were significantly higher than those in patients with stage T2/T3 tumors (all P < 0.01). In the univariate Cox regression analysis, T stage, N stage, GTV, and TL-FAPI were associated with PFS, and T stage, GTV, and TL-FAPI were associated with OS. Upon multivariable analysis, GTV was an independent prognostic factor for both PFS (hazard ratio (HR), 5.76; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.13-15.57, P = 0.001) and OS (HR, 4.96; 95% CI, 2.55-18.79, P = 0.001).
Conclusion: This pilot study revealed that [ Ga]Ga-FAPI PET/CT may have prognostic value for patients with ESCC treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy. It may aid in personalized patient management by steering treatment modifications before therapy. Prospective studies with larger samples and longer observation periods are needed.
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