Serum glypican-3 for the prediction of survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background: Glypican-3 (GPC-3) is a heparan sulfate proteoglycan overexpressed by hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells. Several studies highlighted the diagnostic and prognostic value of GPC-3 expression in liver tissue, while data on the reliability of serum GPC-3 are limited and conflicting. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of serum GPC-3 in patients with HCC.

Methods: A total of 449 patients (91 F and 358 M; median age 65 [38-86] years) with a new diagnosis of HCC and available serum samples collected at tumor diagnosis were retrospectively analyzed. All patients had cirrhosis and the main underlying etiology was viral (N.=323, 72%). Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system was adopted for patients' classification (BCLC 0/A, N.=293, 65% vs. B/C/D, N.=156, 35%) and treatment allocation. Response to therapy was assessed by modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST).

Results: Median overall survival (OS) after HCC diagnosis was 30 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 27-34). Patients with serum GPC-3>150 pg/mL showed lower overall survival (16; 95%CI: 13-24 months) compared to those with GPC-3≤150 pg/mL (36; 95%CI: 30-56 months) (Log-rank test, P<0.001). At multivariate Cox proportional-hazard regression analysis, presence of ascites (adjusted Hazard Ratio [aHR]=1.84; 95%CI: 1.23-2.74, P=0.003), BCLC stage (aHR=1.65; 95%CI: 1.39-1.97, P<0.001), mRECIST (aHR=0.33; 95%CI: 0.21-0.51, P<0.001) and GPC-3>150 pg/mL (aHR=2.02; 95%CI: 1.47-2.78, P<0.001) resulted significantly associated to overall survival.

Conclusions: Serum GPC-3 resulted an independent prognostic factor for patients with HCC irrespectively from tumor stage and response to therapy.