Risk of recipient age on 1-year mortality after simultaneous heart-lung transplantation.

Background: Heart-lung transplantation (HLTx) is relatively uncommon, and there is a paucity of literature to suggest an age at which older recipients may be exposed to excess risk for mortality. This analysis aimed to identify a threshold of age that predicts adverse outcomes after HLTx.

Methods: The United Network of Organ Sharing registry was used to identify adult patients undergoing HLTx from 2005 to 2021. The primary outcome was 1-year mortality. Threshold regression was used to identify the threshold at which age impacts 1-year mortality. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to model survival, and Cox proportional hazards modeling was used for risk-adjustment.

Results: We identified 453 patients undergoing HLTx. Threshold analysis identified that the risk for 1-year mortality was significantly elevated beyond an age of 58 years, and 47 (10.38%) patients were older than this threshold. On Kaplan-Meier analysis, 1-year survival was significantly lower in patients > 58 years compared to younger recipients (64.7% vs. 82.0%, p = .007). After risk adjustment, the hazard ratio for 1-year mortality in recipients older than 58 years was 2.27 (95% confidence interval [1.21-4.28], p = .011).

Conclusion: A threshold for recipient age of 58 years of age may avoid excess 1-year mortality after HLTx. However, patients older than this threshold demonstrate acceptable early and midterm survival, and the majority survive to 1 year. Advanced age should be considered in patient selection for HLTx, but may not be a contraindication for candidacy particularly in the absence of other risk factors.