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Climate change could amplify weak synchrony in large marine ecosystems.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
January 2025
Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS 66045.
Climate change is increasing the frequency of large-scale, extreme environmental events and flattening environmental gradients. Whether such changes will cause spatially synchronous, large-scale population declines depends on mechanisms that limit metapopulation synchrony, thereby promoting rescue effects and stability. Using long-term data and empirical dynamic models, we quantified spatial heterogeneity in density dependence, spatial heterogeneity in environmental responses, and environmental gradients to assess their role in inhibiting synchrony across 36 marine fish and invertebrate species.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe 1831 CE mystery eruption identified as Zavaritskii caldera, Simushir Island (Kurils).
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
January 2025
Archaeology & Palaeoecology, School of Natural and Built Environment, Queen's University, Belfast BT9 3AZ, United Kingdom.
Polar ice cores and historical records evidence a large-magnitude volcanic eruption in 1831 CE. This event was estimated to have injected ~13 Tg of sulfur (S) into the stratosphere which produced various atmospheric optical phenomena and led to Northern Hemisphere climate cooling of ~1 °C. The source of this volcanic event remains enigmatic, though one hypothesis has linked it to a modest phreatomagmatic eruption of Ferdinandea in the Strait of Sicily, which may have emitted additional S through magma-crust interactions with evaporite rocks.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFIntegrating climate and physical constraints into assessments of net capture from direct air capture facilities.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
January 2025
Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Carleton University, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6, Canada.
Limiting climate change to targets enshrined in the Paris Agreement will require both deep decarbonization of the energy system and the deployment of carbon dioxide removal at potentially large scale (gigatons of annual removal). Nations are pursuing direct air capture to compensate for inertia in the expansion of low-carbon energy systems, decarbonize hard-to-abate sectors, and address legacy emissions. Global assessments of this technology have failed to integrate factors that affect net capture and removal cost, including ambient conditions like temperature and humidity, as well as emission factors of electricity and natural gas systems.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFmetaGE: Investigating genotype x environment interactions through GWAS meta-analysis.
PLoS Genet
January 2025
Génétique Quantitative et Evolution - Le Moulon, INRAE, CNRS, AgroParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France.
Elucidating the genetic components of plant genotype-by-environment interactions is of key importance in the context of increasing climatic instability, diversification of agricultural practices and pest pressure due to phytosanitary treatment limitations. The genotypic response to environmental stresses can be investigated through multi-environment trials (METs). However, genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of MET data are significantly more complex than that of single environments.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFEnhancing air quality predictions in Chile: Integrating ARIMA and Artificial Neural Network models for Quintero and Coyhaique cities.
PLoS One
January 2025
Escuela de Ingeniería Química, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, Valparaíso, Chile.
In this comprehensive analysis of Chile's air quality dynamics spanning 2016 to 2021, the utilization of data from the National Air Quality Information System (SINCA) and its network of monitoring stations was undertaken. Quintero, Puchuncaví, and Coyhaique were the focal points of this study, with the primary objective being the construction of predictive models for sulfur dioxide (SO2), fine particulate matter (PM2.5), and coarse particulate matter (PM10).
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