AI Article Synopsis

  • - The study aimed to identify risk factors for patients with discoid lupus erythematosus (DLE) progressing to severe systemic lupus erythematosus (sSLE) and to create a predictive scoring system for this progression.
  • - In analyzing data from 30 patients who developed sSLE and 134 who did not, three main risk factors were identified: being under 25 at DLE diagnosis, having a higher skin phototype, and high antinuclear antibody titers.
  • - The findings suggested that a higher score correlates with increased risk of progression to sSLE, with a score of 0 showing no progression, while a score of 6 or higher indicated about a 40% risk

Article Abstract

Background: No study has assessed the risk factors of progression from discoid lupus erythematosus (DLE) to severe systemic lupus erythematosus (sSLE) (defined as requiring hospitalization and specific treatment).

Objective: To identify the risks factors of and generate a predicting score for progression to sSLE among patients with isolated DLE or associated with systemic lupus erythematosus with mild biological abnormalities.

Methods: In this registry-based cohort study, multivariable analysis was performed using risk factors identified from literature and pruned by backward selection to identify relevant variables. The number of points was weighted proportionally to the odds ratio (OR).

Results: We included 30 patients with DLE who developed sSLE and 134 patients who did not. In multivariable analysis, among 12 selected variables, an age of <25 years at the time of DLE diagnosis (OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.1-7.0; 1 point), phototype V to VI (OR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.1-7.0; 1 point), and antinuclear antibody titers of ≥1:320 (OR, 15; 95% CI, 3.3-67.3; 5 points) were selected to generate the score. Among the 54 patients with a score of 0 at baseline, none progressed to sSLE, whereas a score of ≥6 was associated with a risk of approximately 40%.

Limitations: Retrospective design.

Conclusion: In our cohort, an age of <25 years at the time of DLE diagnosis, phototype V to VI, and antinuclear antibody titers of ≥1:320 were risk factors for developing sSLE.

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Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jaad.2022.09.028DOI Listing

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