Identification of patient subgroups with low risk of postoperative local recurrence for whom total mesorectal excision surgery alone is sufficient: a multicenter retrospective analysis.

Purpose: For rectal cancer, a multimodality approach is mandatory including neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and lateral pelvic lymph node (LPLN) dissection, in addition to the total mesorectal excision (TME). However, these treatments are associated with adverse events. It is important to select patients who do or do not need these treatments.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed patients with cStage II and III rectal cancer who underwent curative resection at three hospitals. Recurrence patterns were classified into three types; pelvic cavity, LPLN, and distant recurrences, and the risk factors for each pattern of recurrence were compared. We then analyzed the risk of recurrence in the patients who underwent TME alone.

Results: In total, 506 patients were enrolled in this study. Pelvic cavity recurrence was significantly associated with clinical assumption of circumferential resection margin involvement (cCRM) (p < 0.001), distant recurrence was associated with cN positivity (p < 0.001), and LPLN recurrence was associated with pretreatment LPLN swelling ≥ 5 mm (p < 0.001), lower tumor location (p = 0.016), and serum CEA level > 5 ng/mL (p = 0.008). In patients without cCRM and swollen LPLN, the local recurrence rate was extremely low even if they underwent TME alone; the 5-year recurrence rates of pelvic cavity and LPLN were 2.2% and 1.9%, respectively.

Conclusion: Additional treatments to TME for rectal cancer need to be performed based on the risk factors for each recurrence pattern.