ERICVA Risk Scale simplified as a predictor of amputation in critical limb ischemia.

Objective: Demonstrate that simplified ERICVA (Valladolid Critical Limb Ischaemia Risk Scale) is useful in predicting amputation in chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLI) after one year of revascularization.

Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed. We analyzed the medical records of 93 patients over the age of 35 with the diagnosis of CLI who were treated in the Department of Internal Medicine, Orthopedics or in the Cardiovascular Surgery Unit of the Víctor Lazarte Echegaray Hospital and the High Complexity Virgen de La Puerta Hospital during the period 2015-2018. The simplified ERICVA score was determined in patients before surgical and endovascular revascularization. We included 31 patients who scored 2 or more points in the exposed group and 62 patients who scored less than 2 points in the group not exposed to amputation risk. The collected data was analyzed with the statistical program SPSS where the Relative Risk and significance was obtained with Pearson's Chi-square. The multivariate analysis was also carried out in order to obtain the adjusted relative risk.

Results: It was identified that the simplified ERICVA score greater than or equal to 2 points was more frequent in those who underwent amputation (90.3%) compared to patients who did not undergo amputation (4.8%), increasing the risk of amputation in those patients with CLI who underwent revascularization (RR: 18.67, P<0.001). It was also possible to identify that within the group of patients that showed a high risk of amputation according to the ERICVA scale, they had a higher risk of major amputation (RR: 9.32, P<0.001) as opposed to the risk of minor amputation (RR: 1, 89, P=0.193). Among the items of the simplified ERICVA scale, the preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and hematocrit were significantly higher in the group of amputated patients (P<0.001). In addition, it was possible to identify that the score greater than or equal to 2 was independently associated with the risk of amputation in patients revascularized with CLI (RR: 13.5, P<0.001).

Conclusion: In our patient population, the simplified ERICVA scale is useful in predicting major and minor amputation in critical limb ischemia after revascularization. The present data showed that the patients who had a simplified ERICVA score greater than or equal to 2 had a higher risk of major amputation compared to the risk of minor amputation. However, it is important to highlight that the impact on the prediction of minor amputation is greater because in some circumstances major amputation can appear as a complication of CLI.