Computed tomography-based radiomics quantification predicts epidermal growth factor receptor mutation status and efficacy of first-line targeted therapy in lung adenocarcinoma.

Background: Biomarkers that predict the efficacy of first-line tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) are pivotal in epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutant advanced lung adenocarcinoma. Imaging-based biomarkers have attracted much attention in anticancer therapy. This study aims to use the machine learning method to distinguish EGFR mutation status and further explores the predictive role of EGFR mutation-related radiomics features in response to first-line TKIs.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed pretreatment CT images and clinical information from a cohort of lung adenocarcinomas. We entered the top-ranked features into a support vector machine (SVM) classifier to establish a radiomics signature that predicted EGFR mutation status. Furthermore, we identified the best response-related features based on EGFR mutant-related features in first-line TKI therapy patients. Then we test and validate the predictive effect of the best response-related features for progression-free survival (PFS).

Results: Six hundred ninety-two patients were enrolled in building radiomics signatures. The 13 top-ranked features were input into an SVM classifier to establish the radiomics signature of the training cohort (n = 514), and the predictive score of the radiomics signature was assessed on an independent validation group with 178 patients and obtained an area under the curve (AUC) of 74.13%, an F1 score of 68.29%, a specificity of 79.55%, an accuracy of 70.79%, and a sensitivity of 62.22%. More importantly, the skewness-Low (≤0.882) or 10th percentile-Low group (≤21.132) had a superior partial response (PR) rate than the skewness-High or 10th percentile-High group ( < 0.01). Higher skewness (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.722, = 0.001) was also found to be significantly associated with worse PFS.

Conclusions: The radiomics signature can be used to predict EGFR mutation status. Skewness may contribute to the stratification of disease progression in lung cancer patients treated with first-line TKIs.