B-type peptides to predict post-liver transplant mortality: systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background: Cirrhotic patients undergoing liver transplantation are at risk of cardiac complications. Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and amino terminal brain natriuretic peptide (NT-BNP) are used in cardiac risk stratification. Their significance in predicting mortality risk in cirrhotic patients during or after liver transplantation is unknown. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to answer this question.

Methods: An electronic search of EMBASE, MEDLINE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (2005-September 2016), Google Scholar, and study bibliographies was conducted. Study quality was determined, and demographic and outcome data were gathered. Random effects meta-analyses of mortality-based BNP and NT-BNP level or presence of post-transplant heart failure were conducted.

Results: Seven studies including 2,010 patients were identified. Demographics were similar between patients with high or low BNP or NT-BNP levels. Hepatitis C was the most prevalent etiology of cirrhosis (38%). Meta-analysis revealed a pooled relative risk of 3.1 (95% CI 1.9% to 5.0%) for post-transplant mortality based on elevated BNP or NT-BNP level. Meta-analysis also revealed a pooled relative risk of 1.6 (95% CI 1.3% to 2.1%) for post-transplant mortality if patients had demonstrated post-transplant heart failure.

Conclusions: Our analysis suggests that BNP or NT-BNP measurement may help in risk stratification and provides data on post-operative mortality in cirrhotic patients undergoing liver transplantation. Discriminatory thresholds are higher in cirrhotic patients relative to prior studies with non-cirrhotic patients. However, the number of analyzed studies is limited, and our findings should be validated further through larger, prospective studies.