Subtropical clouds key to Southern Ocean teleconnections to the tropical Pacific.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A

Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093-0206.

Published: August 2022

AI Article Synopsis

  • Excessive rainfall in the southeastern tropical Pacific is a persistent issue in global climate models, often linked to an overly warm Southern Ocean.
  • Recent studies identify that cooling the Southern Ocean can help reduce this rainfall bias by influencing cloud patterns and shifting rainy areas northward.
  • Most climate models underestimate the subtropical cloud feedback, which indicates that the connection between the Southern Ocean and the tropical Pacific may be more significant than previously believed.

Article Abstract

Excessive precipitation over the southeastern tropical Pacific is a major common bias that persists through generations of global climate models. While recent studies suggest an overly warm Southern Ocean as the cause, models disagree on the quantitative importance of this remote mechanism in light of ocean circulation feedback. Here, using a multimodel experiment in which the Southern Ocean is radiatively cooled, we show a teleconnection from the Southern Ocean to the tropical Pacific that is mediated by a shortwave subtropical cloud feedback. Cooling the Southern Ocean preferentially cools the southeastern tropical Pacific, thereby shifting the eastern tropical Pacific rainbelt northward with the reduced precipitation bias. Regional cloud locking experiments confirm that the teleconnection efficiency depends on subtropical stratocumulus cloud feedback. This subtropical cloud feedback is too weak in most climate models, suggesting that teleconnections from the Southern Ocean to the tropical Pacific are stronger than widely thought.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9407304PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2200514119DOI Listing

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