Gut microbial products valerate and caproate predict renal outcome among the patients with biopsy-confirmed diabetic nephropathy.

Aims: Valerate and caproate are two subtypes of short-chain fatty acids produced by gut microbiota. We aimed to measure the serum valerate and caproate levels and analyze the associations between them and renal prognosis of diabetic nephropathy (DN).

Methods: The serum samples of patients with biopsy-confirmed diagnosis of DN were collected in the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University, from April 1, 2013, to March 31, 2018. One hundred patients were included and divided into an early DN group (eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min, n = 42) and an advanced DN group (eGFR < 60 ml/min, n = 58). The valerate and caproate were measured using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry. Participants were followed up until the cutoff date of August 31, 2018, or if they met the primary endpoint of end-stage renal disease (ESRD).

Results: There were 71 males and 29 females in this study, and 29 patients developed ESRD. We observed a significant lower concentration of valerate and caproate in the advanced DN group. There were negative correlations between valerate and glomerular classification (r = - 0.20, P = 0.03) and between caproate and interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) (r = - 0.24, P = 0.01). And there were positive correlations between valerate or caproate and eGFR (r = 0.22, P = 0.02; r = 0.38, P < 0.01). Multivariate Cox analysis revealed higher levels of valerate and caproate were negatively related to progression to ESRD (HR = 0.024, P = 0.016; HR = 0.543, P = 0.030). The area under the curve values of valerate and caproate levels were 0.66 and 0.63, respectively, in predicting progression to ESRD.

Conclusion: This study showed alterations in serum valerate and caproate in DN and demonstrates lower valerate and caproate levels with progression of DN to ESRD.