The predictive value of the triglyceride-glucose index for cardiovascular events in patients with coronary chronic total occlusion.

Background: Chronic total occlusion (CTO) of the coronary artery is a difficult problem in clinical practice. The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is an effective risk predictor of cardiovascular risk. However, the relationship between the TyG index and the prognosis of CTO patients remains unstudied. Thus, the present study aimed to investigate the relationship between the TyG index and cardiovascular risk in CTO patients.

Methods: This was a single-centre, retrospective cohort study. We retrospectively enrolled 652 patients with CTO lesions diagnosed by angiography and who underwent revascularization through PCI. Patients were routinely followed up for 24 months unless meeting the endpoint. The primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, unplanned revascularization, and nonfatal ischaemic stroke. To test the association of the TyG index with cardiovascular risk, the categorized TyG index and Cox proportional hazards regression models were utilized.

Results: A total of 652 patients were enrolled in the final analysis (male: 83.7%, age: 58.2 ± 10.49 years). The average TyG index was 8.8 ± 0.57. CTO PCIs were procedurally successfully completed in 503 (77.15%) patients. During the follow-up period of 22.8 ± 3.84 months, 73 (11.19%) major adverse cardiovascular and cerebral events (MACCEs) occurred. When fully adjusted, there was a 2.09-fold risk for MACCEs among patients with the highest TyG index compared with those with the lowest TyG index [T2 vs. T1: hazard ratio (HR) 1.24, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65-2.38, P = 0.057; T3 vs. T1: HR 2.09, 95% CI 1.14-3.86, P = 0.018; P for trend = 0.036]. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis showed that the HR for MACCEs increased as the TyG index increased over 8.71 [HR per standard deviation (SD) 1.740, 95% CI 1.23-2.46, P = 0.002]. The risk of MACCEs increased with increasing tertiles of TyG index in successful CTO PCI patients and nondiabetes mellitus (DM) patients (P < 0.05) but not in patients with failed CTO PCI and DM patients.

Conclusion: The study revealed that the TyG index had significant relevance to cardiovascular risk in CTO patients and suggests that the TyG index is feasible for predicting cardiovascular risk in CTO patients.