Aggregated human judgment forecasts for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) targets of public health importance are accurate, often outperforming computational models. Our work shows that aggregated human judgment forecasts for infectious agents are timely, accurate, and adaptable, and can be used as a tool to aid public health decision making during outbreaks.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9348614 | PMC |
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofac354 | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
human judgment
12
coronavirus disease
8
disease 2019
8
aggregated human
8
judgment forecasts
8
public health
8
aggregating human
4
judgment probabilistic
4
probabilistic predictions
4
predictions coronavirus
4
Similar Publications
Want AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!