Accuracy of ultrasonographic changes during neoadjuvant chemotherapy to predict axillary lymph node response in clinical node-positive breast cancer patients.

Purpose: To evaluate whether changes in ultrasound features during neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) could predict axillary node response in clinically node-positive breast cancer patients.

Methods: Patients with biopsy-proven node-positive disease receiving NAC between February 2009 and March 2021 were included. Ultrasound (US) images were obtained using a 5-12-MHz linear array transducer before NAC, after two cycles, and at the completion of NAC. Long and short diameter, cortical thickness, vascularity, and hilum status of the metastatic node were retrospectively reviewed according to breast imaging-reporting and data system (BI-RADS). The included population was randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a 2:1 ratio using a simple random sampling method. Factors associated with node response were identified through univariate and multivariate analyses. A nomogram combining clinical and changes in ultrasonographic (US) features was developed and validated. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration plots were applied to evaluate nomogram performance and discrimination.

Results: A total of 296 breast cancer patients were included, 108 (36.5%) of whom achieved axillary pathologic complete response (pCR) and 188 (63.5%) had residual nodal disease. Multivariate regression indicated that independent predictors of node pCR contain ultrasound features in addition to clinical features, clinical features including neoadjuvant HER2-targeted therapy and clinical response, ultrasound features after NAC including cortical thickness, hilum status, and reduction in short diameter ≥50%. The nomogram combining clinical features and US features showed better diagnostic performance compared to clinical-only model in the training cohort (AUC: 0.799 vs. 0.699, P=0.001) and the validation cohort (AUC: 0.764 vs. 0.638, P=0.027).

Conclusions: Ultrasound changes during NAC could improve the accuracy to predict node response after NAC in clinically node-positive breast cancer patients.