Mortality after multivitamin supplementation: Nearly 35-year follow-up of the randomized Linxian Dysplasia Nutrition Intervention Trial.

Background: The objective of this study was to update the association between multivitamin supplementation and total or cause-specific mortality in a population with a high prevalence of undernutrition in China.

Methods: The Linxian Dysplasia Nutrition Intervention Trial was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in which 3318 persons aged 40-69 years with esophageal squamous dysplasia were assigned to receive daily multivitamin supplementation or a placebo for 6 years and were followed for 29 years. The primary outcome was esophageal/gastric cardia cancer mortality. The data were analyzed with Cox proportional hazards regression models. Subgroup analyses were performed by common characteristics such as age and gender.

Results: The cumulative total mortality was 83.5%. Multivitamin supplementation did not affect total or cause-specific mortality in the participants as a whole (hazard ratio [HR], 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.89-1.03). Subgroup analyses showed that no association between multivitamin supplementation and all-cause mortality was observed in men (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.81-1.01), women (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.91-1.12), younger participants (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.87-1.08), or older participants (HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.85-1.04). Significant reductions in heart disease mortality (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.47-0.87) and cerebrovascular disease mortality (HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.56-1.00) were seen in older men. In a subgroup of younger men and a subgroup of moderate or severe dysplasia, subjects receiving multivitamin supplementation had a lower risk of esophageal/cardia cancer mortality (HR for younger men, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.58-0.99; HR for moderate or severe dysplasia, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.58-1.00). No association between multivitamin supplementation and any cause-specific mortality was observed in a mild dysplasia population.

Conclusions: Multivitamin supplementation in a population with esophageal squamous dysplasia was not associated with the risk of total mortality in the 35-year follow-up of this randomized controlled trial. In light of this and previous trials, multivitamin supplements should be used thoughtfully to improve health status of populations with esophageal squamous dysplasia.

Lay Summary: Multivitamin supplementation is common, yet its effect on mortality is unclear. The aim of this study was to update the long-term effects of multivitamin supplementation on total and cause-specific mortality during nearly 35 years of follow-up in the Linxian Dysplasia Nutrition Intervention Trial in China. Multivitamin supplementation in a population with esophageal squamous dysplasia was not associated with the risk of total mortality in the 35-year follow-up of this randomized controlled trial, and this indicates that multivitamin supplements should be used thoughtfully to improve health status.