Dengue is one of the major health problems in the state of Chiapas. Consequently, spatial information on the distribution of the disease can optimize directed control strategies. Therefore, this study aimed to develop and validate a simple Bayesian prediction spatial model for the state of Chiapas, Mexico. This is an ecological study that uses data from a range of sources. Dengue cases occurred from January to August 2019. The data analysis used the spatial correlation of dengue cases (DCs), which was calculated with the Moran index statistic, and a generalized linear spatial model (GLSM) within a Bayesian framework, which was considered to model the spatial distribution of DCs in the state of Chiapas. We selected the climatological, geographic, and sociodemographic variables related to the study area. A prediction of the model on Chiapas maps was carried out based on the places where the cases were registered. We find a spatial correlation of 0.115 ( value=0.001)between neighboring municipalities using the Moran index. The variables that have an effect on the number of confirmed cases of dengue are the maximum temperature (Coef=0.110; 95% CrI: 0.076 - 0.215), rainfall (Coef=0.013; 95% CrI:0.008 - 0.028), and altitude (Coef=0.00045; 95% CrI:0.00002 - 0.00174) of each municipality. The predicting power is notably better in regions that have a greater number of municipalities where DCs are registered. The model shows the importance of considering these variables to prevent future DCs in vulnerable areas.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9159893 | PMC |
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1971786 | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
Similar Publications
In Vitro Evaluation of the Biosurfactant Produced by Serratia ureilytica UTS with Antifungal and Nematicidal Activity Against Nacobbus aberrans.
Curr Microbiol
January 2025
División Agroalimentaria, Universidad Tecnológica de la Selva, C.P. 29950, Ocosingo, Chiapas, Mexico.
In the present study, the nematicidal and fungicidal activity of the biosurfactant (BS) produced by the strain Serratia ureilytica UTS was evaluated. The highest mortality of J2 juveniles of the nematode Nacobbus aberrans was 92.3% at a concentration of 30 mg/mL.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFFirst report of foliar blight of castor bean caused by in Sinaloa, Mexico.
Plant Dis
December 2024
Universidad Autónoma de Occidente, CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS , Carret. Internacional y Boulevard Macario Gaxiola, S/N, Los Mochis, Los Mochis, Sinaloa, Mexico, 81200.
Article Synopsis
- Castor bean, known scientifically as Ricinus communis, is grown for its oil and ornamental purposes, particularly for its attractive foliage, and has naturalized in places like Sinaloa, Mexico.
- A 2019 survey found that wild castor bean in Sinaloa was significantly impacted by a foliar blight resembling that caused by the fungus Alternaria ricini, with disease incidence varying between 20% to 60% across different sites.
- Samples collected revealed that long-beaked Alternaria was present in 60% to 70% of the leaf fragments tested, with distinct morphological characteristics aligning with descriptions of A. ricini, indicating a potential link between the disease observed in Sinaloa and previously noted occurrences in the
Near full-length genome sequence of a vesicular stomatitis New Jersey virus isolate collected from a naturally infected cow in the endemic state of Chiapas, Mexico.
Microbiol Resour Announc
December 2024
Foreign Animal Disease Research Unit, Plum Island Animal Disease Center, Agricultural Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Greenport, New York, USA.
Here, we report the near full-length genome sequence of a isolate obtained from a naturally infected cow () in the state of Chiapas, Mexico. This sequence will support future efforts to improve our understanding of the evolutionary dynamics of this pathogen in endemic regions of Mexico.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFA new species of the spider genus Mexentypesa Raven (Araneae: Nemesiidae) from Hidalgo, Mexico and taxonomic comments on M. chiapas Raven.
Zootaxa
May 2024
Laboratorio de Sistemática Animal; Centro de Investigaciones Biológicas; Universidad Autónoma del Estado de Hidalgo. Carretera Pachuca-Tulancingo km 4.5; Mineral de la Reforma; C.P. 42184; Hidalgo; Mexico.
Article Synopsis
- A new species of spider called M. hidalguensis has been discovered in a cloud forest in Hidalgo state, Mexico, adding to the diversity of the genus Mexentypesa.
- This new species is described based on both male and female adult specimens.
- The previous spider species Aptostichus sabinae is reclassified as a synonym of M. chiapas, standardizing the classification in this genus.
The Checklist of Oribatida from Mexico includes all known records to date, resulting in 768 species included in 378 genera from 117 families and 43 superfamilies. Records of nine fossil species from Lower Miocene amber (23 Ma) from Chiapas are included. Records are given for 12 of the biogeographic provinces proposed for the country, covering most of the Mexican states (except Sonora, Sinaloa and Tlaxcala), and therefore Mexico ranges among regions with a high species diversity, like Japan (833), India (789), Italy (721), Russian Far East (599), Canada (580) and Brazil (576).
View Article and Find Full Text PDFWant AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!