Effects of Thyroid Dysfunction and the Thyroid-Stimulating Hormone Levels on the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis from Cohort Studies.

Objective: To explore the relationship between thyroid dysfunction, thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels, and risks of atrial fibrillation (AF) in studies and conduct a dose-response meta-analysis on the correlation between the TSH levels and risk of AF.

Methods: Thirteen studies from 5 databases with 649 293 subjects (mean age, 65.1 years) were included. The dose-response meta-analysis was conducted by comparing the risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for incident AF associated with different levels of TSH (vs TSH level of 0 mU/L) across studies. Data were collected until October 25, 2021.

Results: Subclinical hyperthyroidism, subclinical hypothyroidism, and clinical hyperthyroidism were associated with an increased risk of AF (RR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.11-2.62; RR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.05-1.44; and RR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.07-5.16, respectively), whereas clinical hypothyroidism was not associated with the significantly increased risk of AF (RR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.72-1.99). A nonlinear relationship was observed in 2 models (crude model, P < .001; adjusted model, P = .0391) between the TSH levels and risks of AF.

Conclusions: Our study indicated that subclinical hyperthyroidism, subclinical hypothyroidism, clinical hyperthyroidism were associated with the risk of AF, and the results for the TSH levels and risk of AF were mixed, which showed a U-shaped relationship.