Background/purpose: Investigation of a COVID-19 super-spreading event involving both beta and delta variants of SARS-CoV-2, following a choir in a mental health centre.
Methods: An epidemiological and biological (RT-PCR, mutations screening and sequencing) investigation was carried out to identify the chains of transmission. A morbidity and mortality review was performed using ALARM root causes analysis to understand how this superspreading event could have taken place.
Results: On May 25 and 26, 2021, all 13 choir participants were screened. Of these, eight were positive. None of them was vaccinated. Biological results suggested seven cases of delta variants (three confirmed by sequencing) and one case of beta variant. The screening of 141 contact individuals identified 21 subsequent cases with a suspected delta variant and two cases of suspected beta variant. Since the two index cases had similar Ct during the choir, this suggests different spreading abilities. The contributing factors were multiple, including underestimation of infectious risks by the social therapy team in relation to low individual and collective perceived vulnerability CONCLUSION: HCPs involved in sociotherapy must be aware of, and trained to mitigate, the risk of superspreading event. Conventional distancing and good natural ventilation appear to not be enough to prevent spread of more transmissible variants of SARS-CoV-2.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhin.2022.05.008 | DOI Listing |
Sci Rep
January 2025
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Central South University, Changsha, 410083, China.
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) interventions in interrupting transmission have paid heavy losses politically and economically. The Chinese government has replaced scaling up testing with monitoring focus groups and randomly supervising sampling, encouraging scientific research on the COVID-19 transmission curve to be confirmed by constructing epidemiological models, which include statistical models, computer simulations, mathematical illustrations of the pathogen and its effects, and several other methodologies. Although predicting and forecasting the propagation of COVID-19 are valuable, they nevertheless present an enormous challenge.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFJ R Soc Interface
January 2025
Department of Frontier Science for Advanced Environment, Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Tohoku University, Aoba 6-6-06, Aramaki, Aoba-ku, Sendai, Miyagi 980-8579, Japan.
The current situation of COVID-19 measures makes it difficult to accurately assess the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 due to a decrease in reporting rates, leading to missed initial transmission events and subsequent outbreaks. There is growing recognition that wastewater virus data assist in estimating potential infections, including asymptomatic and unreported infections. Understanding the COVID-19 situation hidden behind the reported cases is critical for decision-making when choosing appropriate social intervention measures.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFJ R Soc Interface
December 2024
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Directly transmitted infectious diseases spread through social contacts that change over time, but outbreak models typically make simplifying assumptions about network structure and dynamics. To assess how common assumptions relate to real-world interactions, we analysed 11 networks from five settings and developed metrics, capturing crucial epidemiological features of these networks. We developed a novel metric, the 'retention index', to characterize the distribution of retained contacts over consecutive time steps relative to fully static and dynamic networks.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFRural Remote Health
September 2024
One Health Research Group, Universidad de las Américas, Quito, Ecuador.
Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic has deeply affected Latin American countries, with countless COVID-19 cases and deaths. In countries like Mexico, Brazil, Peru, Colombia and Ecuador, the public health system collapsed and the lack of testing capacity did not allow control of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, rural and Indigenous communities in these countries, particularly isolated ones like those in the Amazon Basin, were neglected in terms of access to COVID-19 testing and medical aid.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFAtmosphere (Basel)
May 2024
Laboratory of Chemical Physics, National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Modeling of airborne virus transmission and protection against it requires knowledge of the amount of biofluid emitted into the atmosphere and its viral load. Whereas viral concentrations in biofluids are readily measured by quantitative PCR, the total volume of fluids aerosolized during speaking, as measured by different researchers using different technologies, differs by several orders of magnitude. We compared collection methods in which the aerosols first enter into a low humidity chamber either by direct injection or via commonly used funnel and tubing arrangements, followed by standard optical particle sizer measurement.
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