We study the impact on the epidemiological dynamics of a class of restrictive measures that are aimed at reducing the number of contacts of individuals who have a higher risk of being infected with a transmittable disease. Such measures are currently either implemented or at least discussed in numerous countries worldwide to ward off a potential new wave of COVID-19. They come in the form of Health Passes (HP), which grant full access to public life only to individuals with a certificate that proves that they have either been fully vaccinated, have recovered from a previous infection or have recently tested negative to SARS-Cov-2. We develop both a compartmental model as well as an epidemic Renormalisation Group approach, which is capable of describing the dynamics over a longer period of time, notably an entire epidemiological wave. Introducing different versions of HPs in this model, we are capable of providing quantitative estimates on the effectiveness of the underlying measures as a function of the fraction of the population that is vaccinated and the vaccination rate. We apply our models to the latest COVID-19 wave in several European countries, notably Germany and Austria, which validate our theoretical findings.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
|---|---|
| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9049016 | PMC |
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-10663-5 | DOI Listing |
Publication Analysis
Top Keywords
Similar Publications
Anatomic variations in origin and coursing of the transverse cervical artery: morphogenesis and relation to the high arch-shaped subclavian artery.
Anat Sci Int
January 2025
Department of Anatomy, The Nippon Dental University School of Life Dentistry at Niigata, Niigata, Japan.
This case report presents an atypical transverse cervical artery with its detailed anatomy, morphogenesis, and association with the high arch-shaped subclavian artery. The atypical arteries, related arteries, and adjacent cervical and brachial plexuses were macroscopically examined in a 98-year-old Japanese female cadaver donated to The Nippon Dental University for medical education and research. The atypical deep branch of the transverse cervical artery originated from the internal thoracic artery and passed through between the C5 and C6 roots, in close contact with the C5 and C6 junction, to reach the dorsal side of the brachial plexus.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFPrevalence of Ishihara Test Failures in a Large Cohort of Military Conscripts.
Klin Monbl Augenheilkd
January 2025
Department of Ophthalmology (Chairman Prof. Valmaggia), Cantonal Hospital St. Gallen, Switzerland.
Purpose: Color vision deficiency (CVD) is a common vision disorder. It is predominantly caused by inherited photopigment abnormalities in the retina. The absolute number of cases with CVD is expected to increase worldwide with the growing population.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFCardiovascular complications in chronic active Epstein-Barr virus disease: a case report and literature review.
Front Pediatr
January 2025
Key Laboratory of Birth Defects and Related Diseases of Women and Children of Ministry of Education (MOE), West China Institute of Women and Children's Health, Key Laboratory of Development and Diseases of Women and Children of Sichuan Province, Department of Pediatrics, Department of Pediatric Cardiology, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Background: Cardiovascular involvement is a rare but severe complication of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infections. Patients with chronic active EBV (CAEBV) are at increased risk of developing cardiovascular complications and have a poor prognosis. Here, we report the rare case of a pediatric patient with CAEBV and EBV- hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) complicated with a giant coronary artery aneurysm (CAA) and thrombosis, a giant Valsalva sinus aneurysm, and ascending aorta dilation seven years after the disease onset.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFCase report: Multisystemic smooth muscle dysfunction syndrome: a rare genetic cause of infantile interstitial lung disease.
Front Pharmacol
January 2025
Respiratory Department II, National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing Children's Hospital, Capital Medical University, National Center for Children's Health, Beijing, China.
Multisystemic smooth muscle dysfunction syndrome (MSMDS) is an autosomal dominant disorder caused by mutations in the gene, resulting in variable clinical manifestation and multi-organ dysfunction. Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a rare phenotype of this condition. We describe a rare infant case of an 8-month-old boy who presented with progressively worsening dyspnea, along with intermittent episodes of respiratory distress and cyanosis since birth.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFA novel machine learning based framework for developing composite digital biomarkers of disease progression.
Front Digit Health
January 2025
Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, United States.
Background: Current methods of measuring disease progression of neurodegenerative disorders, including Parkinson's disease (PD), largely rely on composite clinical rating scales, which are prone to subjective biases and lack the sensitivity to detect progression signals in a timely manner. Digital health technology (DHT)-derived measures offer potential solutions to provide objective, precise, and sensitive measures that address these limitations. However, the complexity of DHT datasets and the potential to derive numerous digital features that were not previously possible to measure pose challenges, including in selection of the most important digital features and construction of composite digital biomarkers.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFWant AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!