Long-Term Outcome After Histopathological Complete Response with and Without Nodal Metastases Following Multimodal Treatment of Esophageal Cancer.

Background: This study analyzed the long-term survival after pathological complete response (pCR) with and without nodal metastases and associated recurrence following multimodal treatment of esophageal cancer. The recurrence pattern after pCR is of importance for different postoperative surveillance strategies.

Methods: A cohort of 890 patients with esophageal cancer received neoadjuvant therapy followed by transthoracic esophagectomy. Only patients with pCR of the primary tumor with and without nodal metastasis were analyzed. A clinicopathological database was set up and completed with long-term follow up information on recurrent disease.

Results: The specimen of 201 patients (23%) demonstrated pCR, 84% without (ypT0N0) and 16% with residual nodal disease (ypT0N+). For ypT0N0 patients, the 5-year overall survival was significantly higher than for patients with metastatic nodes (77% vs. 24%) (p < 0.0001). Sixty-eight percent of patients had no evidence of tumor recurrence, whereas 32% had proven relapse. For patients with and without tumor recurrence, 5-year survival rates were 14% and 93%, respectively (p < 0.0001). For patients with recurrent disease, median survival time was 27 for locoregional, 44 for distant, and 24 months for combined recurrence (p = 0.302). In the multivariable Cox-regression analysis, node-positive disease predicted both locoregional and metastatic recurrence.

Conclusions: Pathological CR offers long-term survival in patients without nodal metastases but outcome significantly deteriorates with the presence of nodal metastases. Follow-up recommendations may therefore be adopted in patients with pCR. Furthermore, "watch-and-wait" surveillance strategies with suspected clinical complete response have to be considered with caution.