Survival Analysis and a Novel Nomogram Model for Progression-Free Survival in Patients with Prostate Cancer.

Background: This study sought to perform a survival analysis and construct a prognostic nomogram model based on the Gleason grade, total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA), alkaline phosphate (ALP), and TNM stage in patients with prostate cancer (PCa).

Methods: The progression-free survival (PFS) of 255 PCa patients was analyzed in this study. The prognostic value of tPSA and ALP was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression analysis, and a nomogram model based on the Gleason grade, tPSA, ALP, and TNM stage was further established for PFS prediction in PCa patients.

Results: PCa patients with different Gleason grades, tPSA and ALP levels, and TNM stages presented distinct PFS. The Gleason grade, tPSA, ALP, and TNM stage were four independent prognostic indicators. The C-index of the established nomogram was 0.705 for PFS in the test cohort and 0.687 for the validation cohort, and the calibration curves indicated a good consistency between predicted and actual PFS in PCa patients.

Conclusion: The data of this study demonstrated that the Gleason grade, tPSA, ALP, and TNM stage of PCa patients are independently correlated with PFS, and a nomogram model based on these indicators may be valuable for the PFS prediction in PCa patient.