No increased risk of mature B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma after Q fever detected: results from a 16-year ecological analysis of the Dutch population incorporating the 2007-2010 Q fever outbreak.

Background: A causative role of Coxiella burnetii (the causative agent of Q fever) in the pathogenesis of B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) has been suggested, although supporting studies show conflicting evidence. We assessed whether this association is present by performing a detailed analysis on the risk of mature B-cell NHL after Q fever during and after the largest Q fever outbreak reported worldwide in the entire Dutch population over a 16-year period.

Methods: We performed an ecological analysis. The incidence of mature B-cell NHL in the entire Dutch population from 2002 until 2017 was studied and modelled with reported acute Q fever cases as the determinant. The adjusted relative risk of NHL after acute Q fever as the primary outcome measure was calculated using a Poisson regression.

Results: Between January 2002 and December 2017, 266 050 745 person-years were observed, with 61 424 diagnosed with mature B-cell NHL. In total, 4310 persons were diagnosed with acute Q fever, with the highest incidence in 2009. The adjusted relative risk of NHL after acute Q fever was 1.02 (95% CI 0.97-1.06, P = 0.49) and 0.98 (95% CI 0.89-1.07, P = 0.60), 0.99 (95% CI 0.87-1.12, P = 0.85) and 0.98 (95% 0.88-1.08, P = 0.67) for subgroups of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, follicular lymphoma or B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukaemia, respectively. Modelling with lag times (1-4 years) did not change interpretation.

Conclusion: We found no evidence for an association between C. burnetii and NHL after studying the risk of mature B-cell NHL after a large Q fever outbreak in Netherlands.