Pandemic due to SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) has affected to world in several aspects: high number of confirmed cases, high number of deaths, low economic growth, among others. Understanding of spatio-temporal dynamics of the virus is helpful and necessary for decision making, for instance to decide where, whether and how, non-pharmaceutical intervention policies are to be applied. This point has not been properly addressed in literature since typical strategies do not consider marked differences on the epidemic spread across country or large territory. Those strategies assume similarities and apply similar interventions instead. This work is focused on posing a methodology where spatio-temporal epidemic dynamics is captured by means of dividing a territory in time-varying epidemic regions, according to geographical closeness and infection level. In addition, a novel Lagrangian-SEIR-based model is posed for describing the dynamic within and between those regions. The capabilities of this methodology for identifying local outbreaks and reproducing the epidemic curve are discussed for the case of COVID-19 epidemic in Jalisco state (Mexico). The contagions from July 31, 2020 to March 31, 2021 are analyzed, with monthly adjustments, and the estimates obtained at the level of the epidemic regions present satisfactory results since Relative Root Mean Squared Error RRMSE is below 15% in most of regions, and at the level of the whole state outstanding with RRMSE below 5%.
Download full-text PDF |
Source |
---|---|
http://dx.doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2022196 | DOI Listing |
BMC Med
January 2025
Department of Public Health Sciences, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Background: Many studies have found more severe COVID-19 outcomes in migrants and ethnic minorities throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, while recent evidence also suggests higher risk of longer-term consequences. We studied the risk of a long COVID diagnosis among adult residents in Sweden, dependent on country of birth and accounting for known risk factors for long COVID.
Methods: We used linked Swedish administrative registers between March 1, 2020 and April 1, 2023, to estimate the risk of a long COVID diagnosis in the adult population that had a confirmed COVID-19 infection.
Ital J Pediatr
January 2025
Department of Neonatology, Children's Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Henan Children's Hospital, Zhengzhou Children's Hospital, Henan, China.
Background: Severe pulmonary infection is the primary cause of death in children aged < 5 years. The early identification of pathogenic bacteria and targeted anti-infective therapies can significantly improve the prognosis of children with severe infections. This study aims to provide a reference for the rational use of antibiotics at an early stage in children with severe pulmonary infections.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFItal J Pediatr
January 2025
High Institute of Public Health, Alexandria University, Alexandria, Egypt.
Background: Attention-Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) is a complex disease that negatively impacts the social and academic/occupational activities of children and is more common in boys than in girls.
Methods: This case-control study aimed to assess the association between some environmental risk factors and ADHD among children in Alexandria, Egypt. It was carried out at the outpatient clinics of El Shatby Pediatric University Hospital in Alexandria, Egypt, with 252 children (126 cases and 126 controls).
Lipids Health Dis
January 2025
Department of Orthopedics, The 921st Hospital of the People's Liberation Army, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University, Changsha, 410003, People's Republic of China.
Background: The metabolic score for visceral fat (METS-VF) is a recently identified index for evaluating visceral fat, also referred to as abdominal obesity. The skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) serves as a critical measure for assessing muscle mass and sarcopenia. Both obesity and the reduction of muscle mass can significantly affect human health.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFBMC Med Educ
November 2024
Faculty of Health Sciences, Bielefeld University, Bielefeld, Germany.
Background: Achieving sustainability in continuing medical education (CME) involves regular assessment of the evolving needs of healthcare professionals regarding their competencies and updates in educational content accordingly. This study aimed to investigate the key areas and competencies that physicians in Serbia prioritize for their professional development and to analyze the factors associated with these competencies.
Method: This cross-sectional study was conducted among 2,625 physicians who are members of the medical chamber in Serbia.
Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!