Resting heart rate as a preoperative predictor of postoperative atrial fibrillation after pulmonary thromboendarterectomy.

Background: As a marker of the autonomic nervous system, resting heart rate is a predictor of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF). However, its predictive value for POAF after pulmonary thromboendarterectomy (PTE) has not been adequately studied.

Methods: We enrolled 97 patients who underwent PTE in our hospital from December 2016 to November 2021 in this retrospective study. Almost all preoperative characteristics, including electrocardiogram, demographics, hematologic and biochemical indices, echocardiography, and pulmonary hemodynamics, were compared between patients with and without POAF. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify the independent risk factors for POAF after PTE.

Results: Overall, 21 patients (21.6%) suffered from POAF after PTE. Compared with patients without POAF, those with POAF were older (p = .049), with a higher resting heart rate (p = .012), and higher platelet count (p = .040). In the binary logistic regression analysis, the resting heart rate (odds ratio [OR] = 1.043, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.009-1.078, p = .012) and age (OR = 1.051, 95% CI = 1.003-1.102, p = .037) were independent risk factors for POAF after PTE. The optimal cutoff point of resting heart rate was 89.5 with sensitivity and specificity of 47.6% and 77.6%. When the cutoff value of the age was 54.5, its sensitivity for predicting POAF was 71.4%, with a specificity of 59.2%.

Conclusions: POAF is common after PTE surgery, and the incidence may be underestimated. The resting heart rate and age are independent preoperative risk factors for POAF after PTE. Considering the lower predictive power of the resting heart and age, further large-scale studies are needed.