We present the pair approximation models for susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic dynamics in a sparse network based on a regular network. Two processes are considered, namely, a Markovian process with a constant recovery rate and a non-Markovian process with a fixed recovery time. We derive the implicit analytical expression for the final epidemic size and explicitly show the epidemic threshold in both Markovian and non-Markovian processes. As the connection rate decreases from the original network connection, the epidemic threshold in which epidemic phase transits from disease-free to endemic increases, and the final epidemic size decreases. Additionally, for comparison with sparse and heterogeneous networks, the pair approximation models were applied to a heterogeneous network with a degree distribution. The obtained phase diagram reveals that, upon increasing the degree of the original random regular networks and decreasing the effective connections by introducing void nodes accordingly, the final epidemic size of the sparse network is close to that of the random network with average degree of 4. Thus, introducing the void nodes in the network leads to more heterogeneous network and reduces the final epidemic size.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-07985-9 | DOI Listing |
Diabetologia
January 2025
MRC Epidemiology Unit, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Aims/hypothesis: UK standard care for type 2 diabetes is structured diabetes education, with no effects on HbA, small, short-term effects on weight and low uptake. We evaluated whether remotely delivered tailored diabetes education combined with commercial behavioural weight management is cost-effective compared with current standard care in helping people with type 2 diabetes to lower their blood glucose, lose weight, achieve remission and improve cardiovascular risk factors.
Methods: We conducted a pragmatic, randomised, parallel two-group trial.
Curr Genet
January 2025
Industrial Biotechnology Division, National Institute for Biotechnology and Genetic Engineering-College, Pakistan Institute of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Islamabad, 44000, Pakistan.
Carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB) is an emerging threat to healthcare settings in many countries, principally in South Asia. The current study was aimed to identify, evaluate whole-genome and characterize the prophages in genome of CRAB strain, recovered from patients of Lahore General Hospital, Lahore. More than 200 samples were collected and identified by morphological and biochemical tests.
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January 2025
Center for Health Development Studies, Peking University, 100191, Beijing, China.
The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) on the development of depressive symptoms and to determine whether socioeconomic status (SES) moderates this effect. A total of 6,455 individual free from depressive symptoms were selected from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). CMDs and SES were self-reported.
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January 2025
School of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, China.
The context of rapid global environmental change underscores the pressing necessity to investigate the environmental factors and high-risk areas that contribute to the occurrence of brucellosis. In this study, a maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was employed to analyze the factors influencing brucellosis in the Aksu Prefecture from 2014 to 2023. A distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was employed to investigate the lagged effect of meteorological factors on the occurrence of brucellosis.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFBreast
January 2025
Canisius Wilhelmina Hospital, Weg door Jonkerbos 100, 6532, SZ, Nijmegen, Netherlands.
Background: The effectiveness of the Dutch breast cancer screening programme depends on the quality of the full trajectory, from the first screening to the final treatment of a screen-detected breast cancer. Interhospital variation in breast cancer treatment has been explored by several studies, however, not specifically in a screen-detected breast cancer population. The current study compares the treatment strategies of women with screen-detected breast cancer between hospitals in the South of the Netherlands.
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