AI Article Synopsis

  • * A study analyzed HPV16/18 prevalence among 5051 unvaccinated women under 40 with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) or adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS), revealing a decline in HPV prevalence over nine years, particularly in younger cohorts.
  • * The findings indicate a significant reduction in HPV16/18 cases among unvaccinated women, suggesting that the vaccination program is creating herd immunity effects in Japan.

Article Abstract

Since the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination program for Japanese girls aged 12-16 years began in 2010, vaccination uptake has been low in women born before 1993 but high (approximately 70%) in those born during 1994-1999. We previously compared the prevalence of vaccine types HPV16 and HPV18 in cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 1-3 (CIN1-3) or adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS) between vaccinated and unvaccinated cohorts and found direct protection effects among vaccinated women in Japan. In this study, we focused on changes in HPV16/18 prevalence among "unvaccinated" cohorts with CIN/AIS. We analyzed HPV16/18 prevalence among 5051 unvaccinated women aged <40 years, newly diagnosed with CIN/AIS during 2012-2021 for time trends. Declining trends in HPV16/18 prevalence over 9 years were observed in CIN1 (36.0-10.0%, P = 0.03) and CIN2-3/AIS (62.5-36.4%, P = 0.07) among women aged <25 years. HPV16/18 prevalence in CIN1 and CIN2-3/AIS diagnosed at age 20-24 years was lower in 1994-1999 birth cohorts compared with 1988-1993 birth cohorts (4.5% vs. 25.7% for CIN1 and 40.0% vs. 58.1% for CIN2-3/AIS, both = 0.04). Significant reduction in HPV16/18 prevalence among young unvaccinated women with CIN1 and CIN2-3/AIS suggests herd effects of HPV vaccination in Japan.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8875304PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/vaccines10020188DOI Listing

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