Prognostic value of ulceration varies across Breslow thicknesses and clinical stages in acral melanoma: a retrospective study.

Background: Ulceration is regarded as an adverse prognostic factor and is used together with tumour thickness to subcategorize patients with cutaneous melanoma. However, the prognostic impact of ulceration in acral melanoma (AM) is controversial.

Objectives: To assess the prognostic impact of ulceration in AM and the variability across different Breslow thicknesses and clinical stages.

Methods: A multicentre retrospective study of patients diagnosed with AM between January 2000 and December 2017. Differences in melanoma-specific survival (MSS) between patients with and without ulceration were assessed using the multivariable Cox proportional hazards model and log-rank test.

Results: Among 1053 enrolled patients, 62.6% had ulceration. After a median follow-up of 61 months, patients with ulceration had a lower median MSS than those without: 66.1 months, 95% confidence interval (CI) 60.0-86.0 vs. not reached; hazard ratio 1.41, 95% CI 1.09-1.82; P = 0.012. Among patients with thin (≤ 1 mm) melanoma, the survival curves of patients with vs. without ulceration clearly separated over time (P < 0.001). No association between ulceration and MSS was observed for melanomas of thickness > 1 mm (subgroups of T2, T3 and T4; all P-values > 0.05) or patients with stage III disease (hazard ratio 1.09, 95% CI 0.71-1.68, P = 0.39).

Conclusions: Ulceration is an independent negative prognostic factor for patients with AM, but the impact varies across Breslow thicknesses and clinical stages. Ulceration has a significant effect on prognosis for patients with thin (≤ 1 mm) melanoma, but there was no association between ulceration and survival in intermediate/thick AM or stage III AM. What is already known about this topic? Ulceration status is used together with Breslow tumour thickness to subcategorize patients into different stages according to the America Joint Committee on Cancer melanoma staging system. As one distinctive subtype of cutaneous melanoma, acral melanoma (AM) is characterized by poor survival outcomes due to delayed diagnosis and a high prevalence of negative prognostic and genetic features. The prognostic impact of ulceration in AM is still controversial. What does this study add? This was the first large-scale study to assess the prognostic and staging values of ulceration in patients with AM. Ulceration has a significant effect on prognosis for patients with thin (≤1 mm) melanoma, but no association between ulceration and survival was found in intermediate/thick or stage III AM. These findings should be considered when using ulceration-based staging systems.