Hormone replacement therapy in relation to the risk of colorectal cancer in women by BMI: a multicentre study with propensity score matching.

Background: Epidemiological evidence about hormone replacement therapy and colorectal carcinogenesis by demographic and clinical traits remains unclear. We aimed to assess this postulated association in a large multicentre study and further explore the modification effect by BMI and others.

Methods: We retrospectively collected records of women diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC) at the age of 50 years and older during 2014-2017 and their HRT dispensing prior to CRC diagnosis in three tertiary hospitals in China. CRC cases were matched with controls at a ratio of 1:3 using nearest neighbour propensity scores matching to better control for the remaining imbalance between groups, which generated a total of 824 cases with 2472 controls.

Results: Our study confirmed the inversed association between colorectal cancer risk and hormone replacement therapy (OR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.54-0.75), which was more prominent among women having multiple HRT dispenses (OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.52-0.76). Furthermore, significant associations were consistently observed for the short-term (OR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.57-0.88), middle-term (OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.41-0.66), and long-term HRT users (OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.43-0.90). Estrogen-related regimen reduced CRC risk more than progestogen-only. We, for the first time, found that the modifying effect of BMI on HRT use and CRC risk was in different ways when BMI was categorized by a medium level of 27.

Conclusion: Our findings mainly suggest that there might be a different mechanism for the reversed association between HRT and colorectal tumorigenesis by BMI level, providing thoughts on clinical treatment of CRC.