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Background & Aims: Decompensation is a hallmark of disease progression in cirrhotic patients. Early detection of a phase transition from compensated cirrhosis to decompensation would enable targeted therapeutic interventions potentially extending life expectancy. This study aims to (a) identify the predictors of decompensation in a large, multicentric cohort of patients with compensated cirrhosis, (b) to build a reliable prognostic score for decompensation and (c) to evaluate the score in independent cohorts.
Methods: Decompensation was identified in electronic health records data from 6049 cirrhosis patients in the IBM Explorys database training cohort by diagnostic codes for variceal bleeding, encephalopathy, ascites, hepato-renal syndrome and/or jaundice. We identified predictors of clinical decompensation and developed a prognostic score using Cox regression analysis. The score was evaluated using the IBM Explorys database validation cohort (N = 17662), the Penn Medicine BioBank (N = 1326) and the UK Biobank (N = 317).
Results: The new Early Prediction of Decompensation (EPOD) score uses platelet count, albumin, and bilirubin concentration. It predicts decompensation during a 3-year follow-up in three validation cohorts with AUROCs of 0.69, 0.69 and 0.77, respectively, and outperforms the well-known MELD and Child-Pugh score in predicting decompensation. Furthermore, the EPOD score predicted the 3-year probability of decompensation.
Conclusions: The EPOD score provides a prediction tool for the risk of decompensation in patients with cirrhosis that outperforms well-known cirrhosis scores. Since EPOD is based on three blood parameters, only, it provides maximal clinical feasibility at minimal costs.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/liv.15161 | DOI Listing |
Interact Cardiovasc Thorac Surg
November 2022
Department of Critical Care Medicine, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Liver Int
March 2022
Institute for Systems Medicine, University Hospital RWTH Aachen, Aachen, Germany.
Background & Aims: Decompensation is a hallmark of disease progression in cirrhotic patients. Early detection of a phase transition from compensated cirrhosis to decompensation would enable targeted therapeutic interventions potentially extending life expectancy. This study aims to (a) identify the predictors of decompensation in a large, multicentric cohort of patients with compensated cirrhosis, (b) to build a reliable prognostic score for decompensation and (c) to evaluate the score in independent cohorts.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFTheor Appl Genet
April 2013
International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas (ICARDA), PO Box: 5466, Aleppo, Syria.
A recombinant inbred line (RIL) population, comprising 181 lines derived from ILC588 × ILC3279, was evaluated in 10 environments across three locations with different moisture gradients. A drought resistance score (DRS) and three phenology traits-plant height (PLHT), days to flowering (DFLR), and days to maturity (MAT)-were recorded along with seven yield-related traits-grain yield (GY), biological yield (BY), harvest index (HI), the number of pods/3 plants (Pod), percentage of empty pods (%Epod), 100 seed weight (100 sw), and seed number/3 plants (SN). Two RILs (152, 162) showed the best GYs and DRSs under stressed and non-stressed environments.
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